Prediction Markets
Wildfire Prediction Markets and the Hazards of Disaster Betting
When destructive blazes swept across Southern California, burning through thousands of structures and claiming lives, a parallel financial debate opened up on prediction markets like Polymarket. Traders were predicting how…
July 21, 2026
Inside Kalshi’s Record World Cup Run: 3 Million New Users, $12 Billion Traded
Spain‘s players were still celebrating on the pitch at MetLife Stadium on Sunday night when Kalshi‘s marketing team had already moved on to counting a different kind of scoreline: 3…
July 21, 2026
Can Pascal Take On Prediction Market Giants Kalshi and Polymarket?
This week’s World Cup finals feature no underdogs. Argentina and Spain, two of the four best-ranked teams on the planet, are close to the ultimate trophy. But in the industry,…
July 17, 2026
Trump’s Teleprompter Operator Suspended For Trading on Presidential Speeches on Kalshi
In the world of prediction markets, traders are constantly hunting for an edge. But for one White House staffer, that edge came from sitting directly behind the screen. On July…
July 16, 2026
Kalshi Pro Desktop Terminal Launches as Prediction Markets Evolve
With the official launch of Kalshi Pro, a high-performance desktop trading terminal built specifically for its most active traders, Kalshi aims to completely transform the prediction markets landscape. This brand-new…
July 15, 2026
2026 World Cup’s Final Four Is Driving Record Prediction Market Volume
Sometimes the World Cup writes its own script, and sometimes the script was already there, waiting since 1992. This week’s semifinals belong to the second category: for the first time…
July 13, 2026
North Carolina Just Made History With Its New Prediction Markets Law
North Carolina Governor Josh Stein, on Tuesday, signed the state’s $34 billion budget into law, telling reporters, “After careful deliberation, this morning I will sign the state budget into law.”…
July 8, 2026
Taxes Against Prediction Markets: New Jersey to Push Legislation
Prediction markets are blooming as the 2026 FIFA World Cup and fluid political cycles push trading volume to unprecedented heights. Meanwhile, state governments are scrambling to extract their piece of…
July 7, 2026
Polymarket’s $571M Secret: How US Volume Defies Geoblocks
In 1920, the United States banned alcohol nationwide. The thirst didn’t disappear; it just moved behind unmarked doors and a password. A century later, a similar experiment is playing out…
July 6, 2026 Prediction Markets Are Mirrors, Not Crystal Balls
What recent primary upsets tell us about how to trade political prediction markets: The favorite lost in Iowa, Georgia, South Carolina, and New York over the last month. The prediction…
July 3, 2026